Ext User(sir.jeanpaul-turcaud@neuf.fr)
23-12-2006, 09:13 PM
.... but now are the good news to all my friends, kindly forwarded to me
by THE AGE in Melbroune. This is a stern application of the well
deserved Collective Chastiment in answere to well known Collective
Crimes
Honour to Our Beloved Celtic God & Unique Creator of All
.... and of course NO RAIN UNTIL MY RETURN
Please read on now
Sir Jean-Paul Turcaud
Exploration Geologist & Offshore Consultant
Mobile +33 650 171 464
Australia Mining Pioneer
Founder of the True Geology
http://www.tnet.com.au/~warrigal/grule.html
http://users.indigo.net.au/don/tel/index.html
http://members.iimetro.com.au/~hubbca/turcaud.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/talks/bbing/stories/s28534.htm
*******************************
THE AGE
CLIMATE SET TO GO FROM BAD TO WORSE
| Email to a friend |
Rachel Kleinman
December 23, 2006
Latest related coverage
IT WAS a week in which the city's air quality dropped to its lowest
level in 20 years as early bushfires continued to blacken all in their
path; Melbourne's water storages dipped to a 22-year-low, and the city
sweltered through its fourth day above 35 degrees since the beginning
of summer.
But while Victorians look to the horizon and pray for immediate relief,
there is evidence that our intemperate climate is only going to get
worse in future. A lot worse.
Climate modelling by the CSIRO forecasts that we can expect the state
to get hotter and drier in the years to 2030, with more days in the
high 30s and more extreme weather events such as flash flooding and
storm surges.
The national science agency first carried out modelling for the state
in 2001, with further work in 2004 and joint research with Melbourne
Water in 2005. But the climate impacts and risk group's principal
research scientist, Kevin Hennessy, says its projections carry new
significance in light of the extreme drought and heightened public
awareness of climate change.
"Water resources, agriculture, forests, fisheries, energy, coastal
settlements, tourism and health will all be affected," Mr Hennessy
says.
And the combined effects of climate change in metropolitan Melbourne
have not yet been teased out of the research.
"(The) effect of heatwaves, such as increased heat-related illness and
death, fire activity, smoke pollution, use of air-conditioners and
demand for energy (can all be expected).
"Then there is the buckling of railway lines and melting of tar on
roads. All these would have major implications for emergency
management, road maintenance, hospital admissions, and peak power
capacity," Mr Hennessy says.
A predicted drop in water run-off will be another significant outcome
of climate change. Already this year, the state's water storages have
fallen to record low levels as a result of the drought. By 2030, the
CSIRO has predicted that run-off will have decreased by between 5 and
35 per cent on 2001 levels.
CSIRO research also predicted a sea-level rise of between 3 and 17
cent, along with more frequent storm surges - temporary rises in sea
levels caused by very low pressure.
"This means we will see more events similar to the storm that hit
Melbourne in February 2005, when Middle Park Beach was almost washed
away," Mr Hennessy says. "It will also mean more long-term, gradual
erosion."
According to the Bracks Government's Melbourne 2030 planning blueprint,
metropolitan Melbourne is expected to absorb an additional 1 million
people over the next 24 years - a factor not included in the CSIRO's
projections - straining water resources and boosting energy use even
further.
The Federal Government's agricultural economics agency, ABARE,
predicted this week that Australia's domestic energy consumption would
be 46 per cent higher by 2030 than in 2005.
The Victorian Department of Sustainability and Environment has stressed
that despite the doom and gloom predictions, it is working hard to
prepare for climate change.
"This means working with everyone from agricultural scientists, coastal
sewerage planners and public health specialists to prepare Victoria for
what looks certain to be a hotter, drier future," a spokeswoman told
The Age.
Mr Hennessy says the CSIRO's focus has now shifted away from
fine-tuning the forecasts towards finding solutions. "The emphasis now
is on adaptation and solutions, not just for individuals but for whole
communities to be more resilient."
by THE AGE in Melbroune. This is a stern application of the well
deserved Collective Chastiment in answere to well known Collective
Crimes
Honour to Our Beloved Celtic God & Unique Creator of All
.... and of course NO RAIN UNTIL MY RETURN
Please read on now
Sir Jean-Paul Turcaud
Exploration Geologist & Offshore Consultant
Mobile +33 650 171 464
Australia Mining Pioneer
Founder of the True Geology
http://www.tnet.com.au/~warrigal/grule.html
http://users.indigo.net.au/don/tel/index.html
http://members.iimetro.com.au/~hubbca/turcaud.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/talks/bbing/stories/s28534.htm
*******************************
THE AGE
CLIMATE SET TO GO FROM BAD TO WORSE
| Email to a friend |
Rachel Kleinman
December 23, 2006
Latest related coverage
IT WAS a week in which the city's air quality dropped to its lowest
level in 20 years as early bushfires continued to blacken all in their
path; Melbourne's water storages dipped to a 22-year-low, and the city
sweltered through its fourth day above 35 degrees since the beginning
of summer.
But while Victorians look to the horizon and pray for immediate relief,
there is evidence that our intemperate climate is only going to get
worse in future. A lot worse.
Climate modelling by the CSIRO forecasts that we can expect the state
to get hotter and drier in the years to 2030, with more days in the
high 30s and more extreme weather events such as flash flooding and
storm surges.
The national science agency first carried out modelling for the state
in 2001, with further work in 2004 and joint research with Melbourne
Water in 2005. But the climate impacts and risk group's principal
research scientist, Kevin Hennessy, says its projections carry new
significance in light of the extreme drought and heightened public
awareness of climate change.
"Water resources, agriculture, forests, fisheries, energy, coastal
settlements, tourism and health will all be affected," Mr Hennessy
says.
And the combined effects of climate change in metropolitan Melbourne
have not yet been teased out of the research.
"(The) effect of heatwaves, such as increased heat-related illness and
death, fire activity, smoke pollution, use of air-conditioners and
demand for energy (can all be expected).
"Then there is the buckling of railway lines and melting of tar on
roads. All these would have major implications for emergency
management, road maintenance, hospital admissions, and peak power
capacity," Mr Hennessy says.
A predicted drop in water run-off will be another significant outcome
of climate change. Already this year, the state's water storages have
fallen to record low levels as a result of the drought. By 2030, the
CSIRO has predicted that run-off will have decreased by between 5 and
35 per cent on 2001 levels.
CSIRO research also predicted a sea-level rise of between 3 and 17
cent, along with more frequent storm surges - temporary rises in sea
levels caused by very low pressure.
"This means we will see more events similar to the storm that hit
Melbourne in February 2005, when Middle Park Beach was almost washed
away," Mr Hennessy says. "It will also mean more long-term, gradual
erosion."
According to the Bracks Government's Melbourne 2030 planning blueprint,
metropolitan Melbourne is expected to absorb an additional 1 million
people over the next 24 years - a factor not included in the CSIRO's
projections - straining water resources and boosting energy use even
further.
The Federal Government's agricultural economics agency, ABARE,
predicted this week that Australia's domestic energy consumption would
be 46 per cent higher by 2030 than in 2005.
The Victorian Department of Sustainability and Environment has stressed
that despite the doom and gloom predictions, it is working hard to
prepare for climate change.
"This means working with everyone from agricultural scientists, coastal
sewerage planners and public health specialists to prepare Victoria for
what looks certain to be a hotter, drier future," a spokeswoman told
The Age.
Mr Hennessy says the CSIRO's focus has now shifted away from
fine-tuning the forecasts towards finding solutions. "The emphasis now
is on adaptation and solutions, not just for individuals but for whole
communities to be more resilient."