Ext User(B0NZ0)
11-12-2007, 04:53 PM
"Roger Coppock" <rcoppock@adnc.com> wrote in message
news:3c2c14f3-dd9a-4028-98b3-0e775b48d0f1@s19g2000prg.googlegroups.com...
> On Dec 10, 4:03 pm, chemist <tom-bol...@ntlworld.com> wrote:
> [ . . . ]
>> November was a good 0.16k cooler than last November
>> I will bet you this is start of a cooling trend and it will occur
>
> The Standard Deviation is 0.2566. So your 0.16K has a
> standard score of 0.16/.2566=0.62. Therefore any
> conclusion about a cooling trend is totally unwarranted
> by your two points of data. (Hint: two years of data
> can't extablish any climate trend, even if you had a
> big Z-score.)
>
> Yet another statistically ignorant rube earns the title
> Fossil Fool.
>
No amount of mumbo jumbo will change the fact that the temperature
trend, in your own figures, is down since 1998.
Squirm all you like Roger, I'm enjoying this!
--
Get The TRUE Facts At
http://www.junkscience.com/Greenhouse/index.html
Excellent Links At
http://www.warwickhughes.com/
Regards
Bonzo
"If the atmosphere was a 100 story building, our annual anthropogenic
CO2
contribution today would be equivalent to the linoleum on the first
floor"
D'Aleo
"...and I think future generations are not going to blame us for
anything except for being silly, for letting a few tenths of a degree
panic us"
Dr. Richard Lindzen, Professor of Meteorology MIT and Member of the
National Academy of Sciences
"What most commentators-and many scientists-seem to miss is that the
only thing we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes"
Dr. Richard Lindzen
[most of the current alarm over climate change is based on] "inherently
untrustworthy climate models, similar to those that cannot accurately
forecast the weather a week from now." Dr. Richard Lindzen
news:3c2c14f3-dd9a-4028-98b3-0e775b48d0f1@s19g2000prg.googlegroups.com...
> On Dec 10, 4:03 pm, chemist <tom-bol...@ntlworld.com> wrote:
> [ . . . ]
>> November was a good 0.16k cooler than last November
>> I will bet you this is start of a cooling trend and it will occur
>
> The Standard Deviation is 0.2566. So your 0.16K has a
> standard score of 0.16/.2566=0.62. Therefore any
> conclusion about a cooling trend is totally unwarranted
> by your two points of data. (Hint: two years of data
> can't extablish any climate trend, even if you had a
> big Z-score.)
>
> Yet another statistically ignorant rube earns the title
> Fossil Fool.
>
No amount of mumbo jumbo will change the fact that the temperature
trend, in your own figures, is down since 1998.
Squirm all you like Roger, I'm enjoying this!
--
Get The TRUE Facts At
http://www.junkscience.com/Greenhouse/index.html
Excellent Links At
http://www.warwickhughes.com/
Regards
Bonzo
"If the atmosphere was a 100 story building, our annual anthropogenic
CO2
contribution today would be equivalent to the linoleum on the first
floor"
D'Aleo
"...and I think future generations are not going to blame us for
anything except for being silly, for letting a few tenths of a degree
panic us"
Dr. Richard Lindzen, Professor of Meteorology MIT and Member of the
National Academy of Sciences
"What most commentators-and many scientists-seem to miss is that the
only thing we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes"
Dr. Richard Lindzen
[most of the current alarm over climate change is based on] "inherently
untrustworthy climate models, similar to those that cannot accurately
forecast the weather a week from now." Dr. Richard Lindzen